В конце сентября прошлого года министр энергетики России Сергей Цивилев заявил, что только половина суммарных запасов нефти в России является рентабельной с точки зрения геологоразведки.
2024年发生的那次爱达魔都号暑期惨跌就是例证——船公司定价过高，遇冷后不干预，代理商被迫亏本40%“放血”，市场陷入混战。
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The “Knocking on Wood” Wikipedia page mentions Roud’s conclusion, and this claim of a 19th century origin has circulated online as the final say on the matter. If you go back to the original, though, Roud’s proposal actually ends on an ambivalent note: “Before this theory [of 19th century origins] can be finally accepted, however, an examination of the history of European forms of this custom would be advisable.”
Whatever the case, a wounded ISS will have been fairly rotten luck. Back in 2017, scientists from NASA and a Russian space contractor put the odds of this worst-case scenario at 1 in 121. As of late 2025, NASA told WIRED the risk of debris causing a depressurization event in any six-month period was somewhere between 1 in 36 and 1 in 170.
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